Study: Scientific fraud grows faster than real science

Study: Scientific fraud grows faster than real science

A new study reveals that sophisticated criminal networks are facilitating the growth of scientific fraud at a faster rate than legitimate research, thereby threatening the integrity of the scientific process itself.

At a Glance

  • A new Northwestern study reveals sophisticated global networks, not just lone individuals, are systematically cooperating to commit widespread scientific fraud and undermine academic publishing.
  • These criminal-like organizations include “paper mills” that produce and sell fake research papers and authorships to academics seeking to artificially inflate their publication records.
  • Intermediaries, known as brokers, connect these paper mills and authors with compromised or “hijacked” academic journals, creating a pipeline for the publication of fraudulent research.
  • The researchers’ analysis found that the publication rate of this fraudulent science is now growing much faster than the rate of legitimate scientific research output.
  • Scientists warn that this crisis threatens public trust and could be severely worsened by the misuse of artificial intelligence to generate even more fake research papers.

A sophisticated and growing threat is undermining the integrity of science, according to a new study from Northwestern University. Researchers have discovered that scientific fraud is no longer the work of isolated individuals, but is often orchestrated by large, organized networks. These groups systematically produce and publish fake research, with their output of fraudulent papers growing at a rate that is outpacing legitimate scientific publications. The study’s authors warn that this trend threatens to poison the scientific record and erode public trust in the research process.

The investigation reveals a complex underground economy built on academic dishonesty. At the center are “paper mills,” which operate like factories to churn out fake or low-quality manuscripts, complete with fabricated data and plagiarized content. These organizations sell authorship slots on these papers to researchers looking to pad their résumés. Acting as intermediaries, “brokers” then connect these paper mills with complicit editors at academic journals, ensuring the fraudulent work gets published through a sham peer-review process that bypasses traditional quality checks.

(Photo by Ousa Chea on Unsplash)

“These networks are essentially criminal organizations, acting together to fake the process of science,” said Luís A. N. Amaral, the study’s senior author and a professor at Northwestern’s McCormick School of Engineering, in a university press release. The problem is so severe that some organizations even “hijack” the websites of discontinued journals to publish thousands of fraudulent papers under a once-legitimate name, lending a false sense of credibility. Amaral stresses that the scientific community must act decisively to defend its integrity from these bad actors.

The researchers argue that without intervention, the problem will only worsen, especially with the rise of artificial intelligence, which could be used to generate fake research on an unprecedented scale. The study, which combines large-scale data analysis with in-depth case studies, calls for enhanced scrutiny of the publishing process and a fundamental reevaluation of the incentives that encourage scientists to engage in such misconduct. The full findings were published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.


References

  • Richardson, R. A. K., Hong, S. S., Byrne, J. A., Stoeger, T., & Amaral, L. A. N. (2025). The entities enabling scientific fraud at scale are large, resilient, and growing rapidly. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(32), e2420092122. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2420092122

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