{"id":6585,"date":"2023-07-05T22:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-05T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/?p=6585"},"modified":"2023-06-23T07:37:01","modified_gmt":"2023-06-23T07:37:01","slug":"the-worlds-fish-are-shrinking-as-the-climate-warms-were-trying-to-figure-out-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/the-worlds-fish-are-shrinking-as-the-climate-warms-were-trying-to-figure-out-why\/","title":{"rendered":"The world\u2019s fish are shrinking as the climate warms. We\u2019re trying to figure out why"},"content":{"rendered":"\n  <figure>\n    <img  decoding=\"async\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532549\/original\/file-20230619-166311-wolwqw.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&#038;rect=17%2C0%2C5973%2C3997&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip\" >\n      <figcaption>\n        \n        <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Marius Masalar \/ Unsplash<\/span><\/span>\n      <\/figcaption>\n  <\/figure>\n\n<span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/timothy-clark-1443984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Timothy Clark<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/deakin-university-757\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Deakin University<\/a><\/em><\/span>\n\n<p>Fish are the most diverse group of vertebrates, ranging from tiny gobies and zebrafish to gigantic tunas and whale sharks. They provide vital sustenance to billions of people worldwide via fisheries and aquaculture, and are critical parts of aquatic ecosystems.<\/p>\n\n<p>But fish around the world are getting smaller as their habitats get warmer. For example, important commercial fish species in the North Sea have <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/gcb.12514\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">declined in size<\/a> by around 16% in the 40 years to 2008, while the water temperature increased by 1\u20132\u2103. This \u201cshrinking\u201d trend is forecasted to significantly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/nclimate1691\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">exacerbate the impacts of global warming on marine ecosystems<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p>The link between warmer water and smaller size is well known, but poorly understood. Our experiments <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1111\/jfb.15213\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">keeping fish in warmer water<\/a> offer some crucial clues \u2013 and may help us learn how to prepare for a warmer future with smaller fish. <\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"the-temperature-size-rule\">The temperature\u2013size rule<\/h2>\n\n<p>Fisheries are a potential confounding factor when studying the effect of warmer waters on fish, because fisheries often target large fish. Removing these larger fish from the population benefits the survival of fish that mature quickly and reproduce at a younger age, when they are smaller.<\/p>\n\n<p>This trait of maturing early can be passed through fish generations. Indeed, it can lead to a phenomenon known as \u201cfisheries-induced evolution\u201d, where the exploited species tends to decrease in size over time.<\/p>\n\n<p>How do we tell the difference between the impacts of climate warming and those of fisheries? <\/p>\n\n<p>One way is to examine the body size trends in fish species that are not targeted by fisheries. Several <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.0902080106\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fish species in French rivers<\/a>, for example, are not exploited by fisheries but have decreased in size over several decades while their environment has grown warmer.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"align-center \">\n            <img  decoding=\"async\"  alt=\"An underwater photo showing a large number of round, silvery fish\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-ls-sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"  data-pk-srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532558\/original\/file-20230619-19-8yplhg.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" >\n            <figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Fishing can reduce fish sizes, but even fish populations largely unaffected by fisheries appear to be shrinking.<\/span>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Sebastian Pena Lambarri \/ Unsplash<\/span><\/span>\n            <\/figcaption>\n          <\/figure>\n\n<p>Another way is to examine fish under controlled conditions, by manipulating water temperature and studying the impact on fish size. Such experiments have shown that fish do indeed end up smaller in body size when kept under warm conditions, and the trend is so common it has been given a name: the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S0065250408602123\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">temperature\u2013size rule<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n<p>We also know that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/science.aao6868\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">smaller fish produce proportionally fewer offspring<\/a>. And if fish are shrinking, fisheries that base their catch quotas on weight will be taking a larger number of individual fish.<\/p>\n\n<p>So shrinking fish means each fish will have fewer offspring, and more fish being caught. This is likely to have substantial ecological and commercial ramifications.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"supply-and-demand\">Supply and demand<\/h2>\n\n<p>Warmer water means smaller fish, but why?<\/p>\n\n<p>The most popular current theories suggest the cause is due to a mismatch between how much oxygen a fish needs (to sustain its body\u2019s metabolism) and how much it can get (via its gills). <\/p>\n\n<p>The argument is that fish gills do not grow at the same pace as the rest of their bodies. Once a fish reaches a certain body size, its gills can only supply enough oxygen to keep its body running \u2013 there is no oxygen left over for growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What does this have to do with warming? The next step of the argument says fish use more oxygen in warmer water \u2013 but their gills don\u2019t get any bigger. So fish reach the limit of their growth at a smaller size, leading to the temperature\u2013size rule. <\/p>\n\n<p>This \u201coxygen mismatch\u201d theory has sparked <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/gcb.13652\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">heated debate<\/a> among global scientists, largely because insufficient data exist to confirm or refute it.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"oxygen-supply-can-keep-up-with-demand\">Oxygen supply can keep up with demand<\/h2>\n\n<p>To get some data, we have carried out long-term experiments keeping fish under warmer water conditions than normal. We also tried providing extra oxygen, to see if it benefited their growth. <\/p>\n\n<p>We have regularly taken metabolic measurements, and quantified the gill surface area of the fish to understand how well they can transport oxygen from the water into the body.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"align-center \">\n            <img  decoding=\"async\"  alt=\"A side-on photo of a silvery-blue fish, showing its head and gills\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-ls-sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"  data-pk-srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=400&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/532559\/original\/file-20230619-15-vp91po.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" >\n            <figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Fish need more oxygen when they live in warmer waters \u2013 but research shows their gills are capable of keeping up with the increase in demand.<\/span>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Paco Joss \/ Unsplash<\/span><\/span>\n            <\/figcaption>\n          <\/figure>\n\n<p>Our results show the \u201coxygen mismatch\u201d theory doesn\u2019t hold up. While the metabolism of fish does <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1111\/jfb.15213\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">increase with warming of the water<\/a>, we found the <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/conphys\/article\/9\/1\/coab040\/6296168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gills grow sufficiently<\/a> to keep up with the increased oxygen demand as fish increase in size. <\/p>\n\n<p>So, why then are fish shrinking as the climate warms?<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"is-reproduction-the-key\">Is reproduction the key?<\/h2>\n\n<p>We know that fish tend to grow faster in warmer conditions and reach reproductive maturity at an earlier age and smaller size. It is possible that once fish start reproducing, energy is channelled into reproduction rather than further growth. <\/p>\n\n<p>Evidence for this comes from a population of <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/j.1095-8649.1995.tb01932.x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fish living in a Swedish lagoon<\/a> that gives us an eye to a warmer future, as the lagoon receives warm (non-contaminated) water from a nearby nuclear power plant. <\/p>\n\n<p>Fish in the warm lagoon grow faster and reach reproductive maturity earlier, then they tend to die at a younger age and at a smaller body size than their counterparts living in adjacent, cooler waterways. \u201cLive fast, die young\u201d, as the saying goes. <\/p>\n\n<p>While this idea seems to be broadly applicable, some <a href=\"https:\/\/elifesciences.org\/articles\/82996\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">conflicting findings<\/a> point to the need for more focused research attention.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"fish-cant-keep-shrinking-forever\">Fish can\u2019t keep shrinking forever<\/h2>\n\n<p>As our understanding of the relationship between temperature and fish size increases, we would also like to know whether we can do anything about it. <\/p>\n\n<p>In our <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/faf.12770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">latest research<\/a>, we explored differences in growth rates between individual fish of the same species. <\/p>\n\n<p>One thing we wanted to know was whether particular physiological traits may allow some individuals to get around the temperature\u2013size rule and be impacted less by climate warming. We found there is significant variability across individual fish, but we don\u2019t know how this variability could be harnessed to future-proof fish populations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As our work continues, we also look to the future and think about the ramifications to fish and the industries that rely on them. <\/p>\n\n<p>Fish cannot keep shrinking forever. There is a minimum size that each species must reach in order to maintain a viable population. <\/p>\n\n<p>If species reach their specific thermal limits in particular locations, they will not be able to reproduce and they will cease to exist in those locations. If their entire habitat range becomes too warm, the species will become extinct.<\/p>\n\n<p>These considerations of smaller fish and shifting thermal habitats will be critical for the sustainability of fisheries and aquaculture industries as we continue into a future with a warmer, more extreme climate. Our efforts to quantify and forecast the impacts will help resource managers and industries prepare for climate-linked disruption.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img  loading=\"lazy\"  decoding=\"async\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  alt=\"The Conversation\"  width=\"1\"  height=\"1\"  style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important\"  referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/207729\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" ><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n\n<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/timothy-clark-1443984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Timothy Clark<\/a>, Associate Professor &#8211; Animal Ecophysiology, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/deakin-university-757\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Deakin University<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/the-worlds-fish-are-shrinking-as-the-climate-warms-were-trying-to-figure-out-why-207729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Marius Masalar \/ Unsplash Timothy Clark, Deakin University Fish are the most diverse group of vertebrates, ranging from&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":514,"featured_media":6562,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13,11],"tags":[120,193,688,173,474],"class_list":{"0":"post-6585","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-earth","8":"category-nature","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-conservation","11":"tag-fish","12":"tag-global-warming","13":"tag-the-conversation","14":"cs-entry","15":"cs-video-wrap"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/514"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6585"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6585\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6586,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6585\/revisions\/6586"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6562"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}