{"id":13654,"date":"2025-03-02T22:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-02T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/?p=13654"},"modified":"2025-02-20T14:57:58","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T14:57:58","slug":"electric-vehicles-grid-impact-renewable-energy-march-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/electric-vehicles-grid-impact-renewable-energy-march-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Switching to electric vehicles will push the power grid to the brink"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"theconversation-article-body\">\n    <figure>\n      <img  decoding=\"async\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649499\/original\/file-20250217-32-hxpqv3.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&#038;rect=0%2C0%2C3841%2C2556&#038;q=45&#038;auto=format&#038;w=754&#038;fit=clip\" >\n        <figcaption>\n          \n          <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\"> AdamEdwards \/ shutterstock<\/span><\/span>\n        <\/figcaption>\n    <\/figure>\n\n  <span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/florimond-gueniat-2295967\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Florimond Gueniat<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/birmingham-city-university-920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Birmingham City University<\/a><\/em><\/span>\n\n  <p>The UK\u2019s pledge to reach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/publications\/net-zero-strategy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">net-zero emissions by 2050<\/a> hinges on replacing millions of petrol and diesel vehicles with cleaner alternatives. But transitioning to electric transport isn\u2019t just about manufacturing new cars, installing chargers and so on. It\u2019s a gargantuan energy generation challenge that could push the power grid to its limits. <\/p>\n\n<p>In 2023, UK transport consumed about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.racfoundation.org\/data\/volume-petrol-diesel-consumed-uk-over-time-by-year\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">46 million litres of petrol and diesel<\/a>. If we convert that into electricity, it would be equivalent to 49.5 gigawatts (GW) of continuous power throughout a whole year. For perspective, this is about one-third more than the UK\u2019s entire current electricity generation capacity. <\/p>\n\n<p>In other words, every single power station in the UK could be devoted entirely to powering electric vehicles and it still wouldn\u2019t be enough. But one might say we didn\u2019t consider the efficiency of electric vehicles. Petrol and diesel engines <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-cars-waste-two-thirds-of-their-fuel-197752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">waste about three quarters of their energy<\/a> as heat, with only a small portion used to propel the car. Electric vehicles meanwhile <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fueleconomy.gov\/feg\/evtech.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">waste only about one quarter<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n<p>Adjusting for this, the actual power needed if the UK went entirely electric drops to around 20 GW. It would still mean increasing today\u2019s grid capacity by almost half (46%), corresponding to building 17 nuclear plants (1.2 GW each) or 5,800 skyscraper-sized wind turbines (3.5 MW each). Those wind farms would cost around \u00a322 billion, while the nuclear plants would cost significantly more.<\/p>\n\n<p>At the moment, less than 1% of vehicles in the UK are electric, which explains why there are no specific power issues \u2013 yet. But if the country did have a fully carbon-free fleet of vehicles, the associated surge in demand would strain infrastructure and risk large blackouts. California\u2019s grid, for example, already faces <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2317599121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stress during electric vehicle charging peaks<\/a>, prompting warnings and forcing the state to put \u201cmanaged charging\u201d policies in place.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img  decoding=\"async\"  alt=\"Electric vehicles lined up and being charged\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-ls-sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"  data-pk-srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=259&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=259&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=259&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=326&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=326&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649514\/original\/file-20250217-32-8c9d78.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=326&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" ><\/a>\n            <figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">\u2018A gargantuan energy challenge\u2019.<\/span>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Supamotionstock.com \/ shutterstock<\/span><\/span>\n            <\/figcaption>\n          <\/figure>\n\n<h2 id=\"massive-upgrade-needed\">Massive upgrade needed<\/h2>\n\n<p>Most countries looking to switch to zero-carbon transport will need to massively upgrade their electricity grid and power plants. Renewable energy complicates matters as wind and solar can\u2019t always meet demand spikes (you can burn more gas or coal when needed, but you can\u2019t choose when the wind blows or the sun shines). Nuclear offers stable and massive output, but new plants can take decades to build and the public is often hostile.<\/p>\n\n<p>Certain \u201csmart\u201d solutions could help things even if the grid itself isn\u2019t overhauled. Electric vehicle batteries could be linked to the grid for instance, and used to <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/electric-cars-could-one-day-power-your-house-heres-how-to-make-it-happen-171430\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">store and supply power<\/a>. Overnight, millions of cars will soak up electricity before releasing it when demand spikes again in the morning. Price discounts would encourage people to charge their cars at night, when demand for electricity is at its lowest. <\/p>\n\n<p>This can help mitigate many of the issues related to wind and solar being intermittent. But it will cause batteries to deteriorate faster, and still won\u2019t solve the problem of having to generate more electricity.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"align-center zoomable\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img  decoding=\"async\"  alt=\"Electric car charging\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-ls-sizes=\"(min-width: 1466px) 754px, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, (min-width: 600px) 600px, 237px\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\"  data-pk-srcset=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=372&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 600w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=372&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1200w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=600&amp;h=372&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 1800w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=468&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=1 754w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=468&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2 1508w, https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/649513\/original\/file-20250217-32-uf4j23.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=15&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=468&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=3 2262w\" ><\/a>\n            <figcaption>\n              <span class=\"caption\">Electricity stored overnight can be very useful in the morning when millions of lights and kettles are switched on.<\/span>\n              <span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">Smile Fight \/ shutterstock<\/span><\/span>\n            <\/figcaption>\n          <\/figure>\n\n<p>One underappreciated strategy is empowering households and businesses that generate their own electricity via solar panels, small wind turbines, or even micro-hydro systems. By 2035, with vigorous policies, these \u201cprosumers\u201d could supply up to 15% of the UK\u2019s electricity, easing grid strain and reducing reliance on centralised funding. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mdpi.com\/1996-1073\/14\/4\/1188\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Such policies in Germany<\/a> have lead its prosumer networks to already offset 10% of the national demand. <\/p>\n\n<p>Without such decentralised efforts, the financial burden of grid upgrades will fall entirely on taxpayers, at staggering costs. The alternative is a huge rise in price of electricity, felt by all, and a stalled transition.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"no-time-to-delay\">No time to delay<\/h2>\n\n<p>Generating more power remains the core issue. Without urgent action, the transition to low-carbon transport could stall \u2013 or worse, overload the energy system. The governments of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cvg8yge40eqo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">France<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/feb\/06\/keir-starmer-unveils-plan-for-large-nuclear-expansion-across-england-and-wales\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">UK<\/a> and some other countries have recently begun to discuss increasing energy production, but the focus is on meeting AI-related demands rather than electricity for the next generation of vehicles.<\/p>\n\n<p>Critically, net-zero will only happen with strong transport and energy policies in place. Governments must increase grid capacity and incentivise small-scale renewable generation through tax breaks and specially-designed payments. The alternative \u2013 delaying and relying solely on public funds \u2013 is economically unviable and politically risky.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img  loading=\"lazy\"  decoding=\"async\"  src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEUAAP+KeNJXAAAAAXRSTlMAQObYZgAAAAlwSFlzAAAOxAAADsQBlSsOGwAAAApJREFUCNdjYAAAAAIAAeIhvDMAAAAASUVORK5CYII=\"  alt=\"The Conversation\"  width=\"1\"  height=\"1\"  style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important\"  referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\"  class=\" pk-lazyload\"  data-pk-sizes=\"auto\"  data-pk-src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/248814\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" ><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n\n  <p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/florimond-gueniat-2295967\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Florimond Gueniat<\/a>, Associate Professor in Mechanical Engineering, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/birmingham-city-university-920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Birmingham City University<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n\n  <p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/switching-to-electric-vehicles-will-push-the-power-grid-to-the-brink-248814\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"AdamEdwards \/ shutterstock Florimond Gueniat, Birmingham City University The UK\u2019s pledge to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 hinges&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":1089,"featured_media":13656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/6\/6e\/Electrical_grid_and_power_plants.webp\/2560px-Electrical_grid_and_power_plants.webp.png","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[5091,5102,5089,5098,5086,5095,5088,5103,5104,5090,5085,5101,5096,5097,5087,5099,5092,474,5094,5093,5100],"class_list":{"0":"post-13654","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-engineering","8":"tag-decentralized-energy-generation","9":"tag-electric-transport-sustainability","10":"tag-electric-vehicle-grid-impact","11":"tag-ev-adoption-energy-impact","12":"tag-ev-battery-lifespan","13":"tag-ev-charging-infrastructure","14":"tag-ev-energy-demand","15":"tag-future-energy-demand-uk","16":"tag-grid-resilience-strategies","17":"tag-household-solar-panels","18":"tag-managed-ev-charging-policies","19":"tag-net-zero-transport-transition","20":"tag-power-grid-upgrade-costs","21":"tag-prosumer-energy-networks","22":"tag-renewable-energy-challenges","23":"tag-renewable-energy-intermittency","24":"tag-smart-grid-solutions","25":"tag-the-conversation","26":"tag-uk-power-grid-strain","27":"tag-vehicle-to-grid-technology","28":"tag-wind-and-solar-grid-integration","29":"cs-entry","30":"cs-video-wrap"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1089"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13654"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13655,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13654\/revisions\/13655"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13656"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modernsciences.org\/staging\/4414\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}